Few Hispanics live in battleground states in 2012 elections, demographer says

Most Latinos reside in places where their votes won’t make a big difference in the outcome – states like California, Texas and New York, said demographer Roberto Suro.

In battleground states like Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin, “there’s not a Latino vote to speak of,” explained Roberto Suro, former Pew demographer and current director of the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute at the University of Southern California who spoke at a New America event this week. “ The Latino vote could really shift the election in Colorado and Nevada, where more than 10 percent of voters are Hispanics.
Although Suro’s numbers paint a picture of an emerging – rather than present – dominance, he acknowledges that Latinos in swing states still may have the power to decide this election, if only by a hair. In a close race, a four to five percent shift in Colorado’s Latino vote, for example, could move the final numbers enough to tip the scales in a particular candidate’s favor.


About tanialara

Tania Lara has a vast experience working as a journalist in Mexico and the U.S. reporting in-depth about the economic contributions and realities of Mexican immigrants. This summer, she will be covering border issues and elections for the 21st Century Border Initiative blog. Her stories about complex cross border matters have been published in Spanish-language media outlets including CNN México, Expansión, and ¡Ahora Sí!, as well as the English-language newspaper The Austin American-Statesman.
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